I don't think Washington is falling out of the top 40 either, and even though he potentially could be the top TE taken if they're drafting based on potential.
But in theory, one of the top TEs might be falling that far, weather it's Washington, Mayer, Musgrave or Kincaid.
Most years 3 or less TEs are picked in the top 50 picks, the one big exception to this I can find is 2017 when 5 were taken in the top 50 and I think the teams regretted most of those choices... and after the 3rd round Yoop and I screamed our heads off, what wrong with these teams, draft TE George Kittle, Iowa ... which somehow fell to the 5th round.
I still want to see Kittles draft reports and why the hell they had him so low...
It said about all position, it takes three years to truly judge a draft and usually TEs and S have more mental aspects and take longer to develop.
But with the rules changing to limit practice time, you'll heard those ole 90s QBs complain that the game is so much simpler these days as teams can't be as complex as coaches have less time with players and more less then fly around stuff. Which I think ahs made it a lot simpler for Safeties to get up to speed mentally.
I haven't heard the rule specifically to TEs lately, but with the spread game becoming popular in college, there have been a lot less TEs in college and it seems like a lot more busted TE draft picks in the pros. Seems more like boom or bust than 3 years to develop now at TE.
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