There is zero doubt in my mind that we get the first round pick next year unless he's injured to the point of missing many games. They won't pull him for sub-par performance or losing games, and even if they did fall far enough to decide "we're out of contention, might as well play the young guy", that won't happen before he's already surpassed the 65% of snaps. All he needs to do is get into week 12; unless they start out something like 2-9 (highly unlikely with the quality of their defense alone), they'll still be mathematically 'in it' with the current playoff structure and three wild card teams...